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I. Industry operation in the first half of the year
From January to June this year, the industrial added value of non-ferrous metal enterprises above designated size (the main business income of more than 20 million yuan, the same below) increased by 12.3% compared with the same period of last year, and the growth rate was lower than the increase of national industrial added value. Percentage points.
(1) The output of the products increased steadily. From January to June this year, the output of ten non-ferrous metals was 16.553 million tons, an increase of 7.27% over the same period of last year. Compared with the average annual growth rate of 13.8% during the “11th Five-Year Plan†period, there was a significant decline. Among them, 2.519 million tons of refined copper, 8.686 million tons of primary aluminum, 2.197 million tons of lead, and 2.529 million tons of zinc, which increased by 11.54%, 4.40%, 23.50% and 2.14% respectively over the same period of last year. The above-scale enterprises produced six kinds of concentrate metal content of 3.556 million tons, an increase of 11.74%. Among them, copper concentrate metal content of 591,000 tons, an increase of 11.00%; lead concentrate metal content of 1.11 million tons, an increase of 23.11%; zinc concentrate metal content of 1.801 million tons, an increase of 7.00%. The output of alumina was 17.367 million tons, an increase of 18.03% over the same period of last year. Copper production was 4.776 million tons, up 17.87% year-on-year; aluminum production was 11.338 million tons, up 26.7% year-on-year.
(2) Achieving a significant increase in profits. From January to May this year, non-ferrous metal industrial enterprises (excluding independent gold enterprises, the same below) achieved a main business income of 1,446.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.1%. In the first five months of this year, the profit of non-ferrous metal industrial enterprises above designated size reached 65.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.4%. The growth rate was 14.5 percentage points higher than that of industrial enterprises above designated size in the same period.
(3) Investment maintained steady growth. From January to June this year, the non-ferrous metals industry (excluding independent gold enterprises) completed a total of 194.72 billion yuan in fixed assets investment, an increase of 28.2% over the same period last year. Among them, non-ferrous metal mining and mining completed fixed assets investment 35.19 billion yuan, an increase of 15.0%, accounting for 18.1%; non-ferrous metal smelting completed fixed assets investment 86.52 billion yuan, an increase of 33.7%, accounting for 44.4%; non-ferrous metal rolling processing completed fixed Asset investment was 73.01 billion yuan, up 29.0% year-on-year, accounting for 37.5%. The non-ferrous metal industry completed fixed assets investment accounted for 1.56% of the country's total fixed asset investment (excluding farmers), an increase of 2.6 percentage points higher than the national fixed asset investment.
(4) The export situation continues to improve. From January to June this year, China's non-ferrous metal import and export trade totaled 76.09 billion US dollars, an increase of 27.73% over the same period last year. Among them: The import value was 54.77 billion US dollars, an increase of 17.87% over the same period of last year; the export value was 21.32 billion US dollars, an increase of 62.28% over the same period of last year. The deficit in import and export trade was US$33.45 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.28%.
Second, the first half of the operation analysis
From the operation situation in the first half of the year, China's non-ferrous metal industry has maintained a stable operation overall, product output and investment have maintained steady growth, and the extensive development model that relies on the expansion of smelting production is changing. The following characteristics and problems are presented throughout the industry:
(1) The cost has risen rapidly and the operating pressure has increased. The rise in coal, electricity, oil and transportation and raw material prices has led to a rise in the cost of non-ferrous metals companies, which is greater than the increase in revenue. The profitability of non-ferrous metals companies has been further reduced. At the same time, the profit of the non-ferrous metals industry is further manifested in the concentration of enterprises with resources and energy.
In addition, with the implementation of the financial policy of suppressing inflation in the country, the domestic banks are tightening, the liquidity of enterprises is tight, and the operating pressure is gradually increasing.
(2) The growth rate of newly started projects declined, and the investment trend shifted to the west. The investment in newly started projects in the non-ferrous metals industry showed a downward trend, and the decline in the second quarter slowed down compared with the first quarter. In the first half of this year, the investment in non-ferrous metal industry projects was inclined to the west. The investment in newly started projects in 12 western provinces and regions was 126.97 billion yuan, accounting for 51.4% of the new non-ferrous construction projects. Xinjiang accounted for 16.7% of the investment in the new non-ferrous construction projects in the country; Qinghai accounted for 15.2% of the newly started projects of the national non-ferrous projects; Inner Mongolia accounted for 5.1% of the newly started projects of the national non-ferrous projects; Guangxi accounted for the investment in the new projects of the national non-ferrous projects 4.9%.
(3) The overall price fluctuated within a narrow range, and the prices of different varieties were significantly different. From January to June this year, the global non-ferrous metal prices showed a strong range of volatility operation characteristics. The domestic market price trend was generally weaker than the international market. In the second quarter, domestic and international market prices showed a slight decline from the first quarter. In the first quarter, copper prices hit a historical record, and in the second quarter, they showed a downward trend. The price trends of various metal varieties of non-ferrous metals and the factors affecting prices are divided. Copper, nickel and other shortages of metal varieties in China have risen. China's successive measures to control inflation have affected copper prices to a certain extent. The increase of electrolytic aluminum is significantly lower than that of other metal varieties, and it is mainly driven by rising costs; The prices of rare metals such as molybdenum, tin, antimony and rare earth have risen sharply, which is affected by the policy of rational development and utilization of advantageous resources in China.
(4) The cost of the electrolytic aluminum industry has risen and profits have dropped significantly. In the first five months of this year, aluminum smelting enterprises (including electrolytic aluminum and alumina) realized a profit of 5.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.6%, due to the continued low price of electrolytic aluminum and rising costs. With the increase in domestic electricity prices, the cost of electrolytic aluminum continues to rise. According to preliminary estimates, after the electricity price increase in 15 provinces in China, the electricity price increased by 2 points/kWh on average, and the price of carbon products increased. The manufacturing cost of electrolytic aluminum increased by more than 300 yuan, and the profit margin of electrolytic aluminum enterprises was further compressed. At present, enterprises in the central and eastern regions as well as Sichuan, Guangxi, Guizhou and other regions are in a state of loss or meager profit, and the profits of the industry are further manifested in the situation of the concentration of coal-electric-aluminum integrated enterprises.
Third, the second half of the non-ferrous metal industry operating trends
Initially, in the second half of 2011, China's non-ferrous metal industry production continued to maintain a steady growth trend. It is expected that the output of ten non-ferrous metals will increase by about 10% this year. With the increasingly complex global economic environment, especially the US dollar debt ceiling is still pending. In the euro zone sovereign debt crisis, the financial properties of non-ferrous metals will become more prominent. In addition, domestic demand for non-ferrous metals will be in the peak season in the second half of the year, and non-ferrous metals prices will generally be in a high-level shock pattern, and the economic benefits of enterprises will continue to grow. However, with the increase in domestic exports of copper and aluminum processed products and the rise of various forms of trade protectionism, trade frictions will increase.
Non-ferrous metal industry maintained stable operation in the first half of 2011
In the first half of 2011, the national economy maintained a healthy and stable development as the country accelerated the transformation of economic development mode, strengthened macroeconomic regulation and control, accelerated structural adjustment, and further suppressed the implementation of a series of macroeconomic policies such as inflation. As a raw material industry, the non-ferrous metal industry has basically met the needs of national economic construction, the industrial scale has grown steadily, the economic benefits have improved significantly, and the overall stable operation has been maintained.