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The development goal in the "Opinions" proposes that from 2013 to 2015, the annual average installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation will be about 10GW, and the total installed capacity will reach 35GW or more by 2015. This is the fourth time that the target has been raised, and the growth rate is increasing. Compared with the previous 21GW, it reached 66%. To this end, the industry has the view that such a large increase in installed targets may be only a political decision to deal with the European trade war, and may be affected by the outcome of negotiations with the European side. If the EU finally decides not to implement "double opposition" in December, then The development speed of domestic PV applications may slow down again. In this regard, many experts in the interview with the "China Electronics News" reporter cited the original "Opinions" in a powerful counterattack: "Photovoltaic industry is an important development direction of global energy technology and industry, is a sunrise industry with great development potential It is also a strategic emerging industry with international competitive advantages in China... We must strengthen our confidence, seize opportunities, and innovate, and unswervingly promote the sustainable and healthy development of the photovoltaic industry. At the same time, for the current domestic situation, TrendForce Green Energy Analyst Huang Gonghui said that with the initial planning, the target of 35GW can be decomposed to 6GW this year, 10GW in 2014 and 12GW in 2015. With the support of specific policies, the pressure is there, but not counting Too big.
The explosive growth of the scale of distributed photovoltaic power plants will share a large share of the task. The reporter found that the "Opinions" clearly stated that the total power of distributed photovoltaic power generation will be used as a performance indicator for local government performance, and will be included in the local government's energy conservation. “Before and after the release of the Opinions, the policies of the provinces supporting distributed photovoltaic power generation have been advanced or planned.†Deputy Director of the Computer and Microelectronics Development Research Center (China Software Evaluation Center) and Deputy Secretary of China PV Industry Alliance, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology Chang Gaohong told the China Electronics News that “Zhejiang (Jiaxing) and Jiangxi (Wanjia Rooftop Photovoltaic Power Demonstration Project) and other provinces have already introduced policies, and policies in Guangdong and other provinces are also in the pipeline. It is expected to be distributed later. There are more provinces and municipalities that apply specific support policies and measures.†Gao Hongling further stated that the construction of distributed photovoltaic power plants will exhibit explosive growth of diversity, not only in the diversity of application themes, but also in application methods. .
Conversion efficiency
In order to speed up industrial restructuring and technological progress and curb the blind expansion of photovoltaic production capacity, the "Opinions" proposes to strictly control polysilicon, photovoltaic cells and component projects that simply expand production capacity. The new PV manufacturing project should meet the conversion efficiency of monocrystalline silicon photovoltaic cells. Below 20%, the conversion efficiency of polycrystalline silicon photovoltaic cells is not less than 18%, and the conversion efficiency of thin film photovoltaic cells is not less than 12%. Such a high conversion efficiency limit has been "thundered" by many people in the industry. Some companies said that this target is very stressful for the current domestic PV companies; even some people exclaimed that this is an impossible goal. It is true that from the publicly disclosed information, the Yingli Panda N-type monocrystalline silicon battery, which has the highest mass production efficiency in China, has a conversion efficiency of only 19.5% and has not yet reached the 20% pass line. The 18% requirement for mass production efficiency of polycrystalline silicon cells is currently only available to one company. Therefore, some people joked that this is a "head shot" decision. To this end, the "China Electronics News" reporter called a number of domestic battery leading companies chief technology officer. Regarding everyone's concerns, the responsible persons have clearly stated: "The requirements for conversion efficiency in the "Opinions" can be completely achieved by several mainstream enterprises in China." When asked if the reporter did not pursue the highest conversion efficiency before, A person in charge of the company told reporters that this is based on cost-effective considerations. He analyzed that the US SunPower and Japan Sanyo's single crystal conversion efficiency is more than 20%, but their cost per watt is about $1.3, while the cost of domestic mainstream companies is only $0.7/W; if it is more than 20%, It is not difficult to adjust the product design structure and increase the use of some parts, but it will increase the manufacturing cost by 5% to 10%. It can be seen that the requirements of the "Opinions" are not unrealistic. The previous conversion efficiency seems to be relatively low. It is only a market strategy for leading enterprises to enhance the competitiveness of their products. “The clear conversion efficiency limitation is based on the on-the-spot investigation of a large number of enterprises by relevant departments, and it has also sought opinions from many parties. This will not only improve the overall technical level of the industry, but also contribute to the improvement of industrial concentration.†Gao Hongling The summary is a full stop.
Follow-up rules have hope
From the State Council executive meeting on December 19 last year to the State Council executive meeting on June 14 this year, and then the introduction of the "Opinions", it took more than half a year to promote the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry from the adjustment to the introduction of opinions. Since the entire photovoltaic industry began to decline in 2011, it has been more than two years now, and the "Opinions" are only programmatic documents, and the actual implementation depends on the supporting documents of various ministries. Then when will the corresponding supporting measures be followed? When will the electricity price be fixed? When will the subsidy be replenished? When will the loan be given? When will the standard be fixed? Will it wait for a long time?
The reporter of China Electronics News interviewed relevant insiders with a series of questions from the industry. "There will be the introduction before the end of September this year!" The reporter got a very positive reply. The person familiar with the matter said that it is currently determined that the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, and the AQSIQ will issue supporting documents, and individual ministries have entered the stage of soliciting opinions. The National Development and Reform Commission Energy Bureau focuses on application ports, involving distributed photovoltaic power plants, large-scale photovoltaic power plants and photovoltaic demonstration zones; the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology focuses on the regulation of the photovoltaic industry, mergers and acquisitions; the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development focuses on photovoltaic demonstration applications; the Ministry of Finance will ensure subsidies The implementation of funds; the National Development and Reform Commission to clarify the on-grid tariff.
At present, relevant documents have been prepared and will be followed by the "Opinions". In fact, the "Opinions" have clearly stated that all relevant departments should, in accordance with the requirements of this opinion, work hard to formulate relevant supporting documents in accordance with the division of responsibilities, improve supporting policies such as photovoltaic power generation prices, taxation, financial credit and construction land, and ensure various tasks. Implement it. As Gao Hongling said, let us look forward to and witness these specific measures to comprehensively improve the quality of China's photovoltaic industry development and promote long-term healthy and sustainable development of the industry.
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Photovoltaic New Deal: Conversion efficiency is by no means "slap the head"
Abstract In order to standardize and promote the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry, a number of opinions of the State Council on promoting the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry (hereinafter referred to as the "Opinions") were officially introduced. This document that has made the industry a leader for a long time has been released, which has aroused enthusiastic attention and discussion in all aspects...
In order to standardize and promote the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry, a number of opinions of the State Council on promoting the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry (hereinafter referred to as the "Opinions") were officially introduced. This document, which has made the industry a leader for a long time, has attracted enthusiastic attention and discussion in various aspects, and the focus is on development goals, conversion efficiency, and follow-up rules.