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The price of oil in the last round of the year rose by 435 yuan / ton
The 11th increase in oil prices for gasoline increased by 435 yuan/ton of gasoline and diesel oil by 70 yuan per ton, and the filling of a box of 92# gasoline costed about 2.5 yuan; the next price adjustment window will open in January next year. The reporter learned from the National Development and Reform Commission that the price limit for gasoline and diesel was raised at 0:00 on December 29, gasoline was raised by 70 yuan per ton and diesel was raised by 70 yuan per ton. The price adjustment is the eleventh increase in the year. After the price adjustment, the price adjustment of refined oil products in 2017 will show a pattern of “11 ups, 6 falls and 8 strandedâ€. Beijing 92# gasoline price was adjusted to 6.84 yuan / liter, according to the general household car fuel tank 50L capacity estimate, fill a box of 92 # gasoline and spend about 2.5 yuan. The next price adjustment window will open at 24 o'clock on January 12, 2018. The retail price of refined oil rose in the last round of the year. After this price adjustment, the cumulative increase of gasoline this year was 435 yuan / ton, diesel 420 yuan / ton. This year, the oil price has undergone 25 adjustments, of which 11 times rose 6 times and fell 8 times. The increase was mainly concentrated in the second half of the year. From July to now, except for the stranding, the increase was 1040 yuan/ton. "In the second half of this year, affected by the international situation, international crude oil prices continued to rise, so it can be seen that in July this year, in addition to several strandings, the price of refined oil is basically rising." Jin Lianchuang analysts said. "In terms of crude oil, Saudi Arabia’s anti-corruption in the past two months, the geopolitical risks of the international market have come one after another, and the production reduction agreement has led to a series of events, resulting in a surge in international oil prices. The rise in oil prices has brought a clear buying atmosphere to the upstream and downstream, and prices have been pushed along the way. Li Yan, an analyst at Longzhong Petrochemical, analyzed that although the initial rate of crude oil change fluctuated within a narrow range, the recent decline in US crude oil production and the closure of some oil pipelines led to an increase in international crude oil prices and a rise in refined oil prices. Affected by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) production reduction agreement, the US exports of crude oil to China rose to 288,000 barrels per day in November, totaling 1.18 million tons. In the first 11 months of this year, the total amount was 6.8 million tons, or 148,600 barrels. /day. Driven by the increase in imports from private refineries, total crude oil imports in China rebounded to the second highest in November, providing an effective boost to global demand for crude oil. In addition, since December, various aspects have been insufficiently supported. In addition, the weather has turned cold, and outdoor operations in the northern region have decreased. The “2+26†city of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei air pollution transmission channel has entered a downtime period, and downstream enterprises have entered the peak production. Factors have led to a decline in demand for diesel market resources. Traders and downstream purchases were weak, refinery stocks rose, and domestic and Shandong refining diesel prices began to fall. Until the market in the late tense, prices generally bottomed out, and steam and diesel prices ushered in a small round of rebound. "The price adjustment is relatively small, and the market boosting effect is extremely limited. At present, the traditional diesel demand is in the off-season. At the end of the year, the refinery has different levels of drainage pressure. When the operating rate remains high, the next price adjustment period is coming. Diesel prices are still likely to fall back." Li Yan analyzed. Analysis: Oil prices will start to increase by 130 yuan / ton next year. On December 26, Iraqi Oil Minister Jabbar Al-Luaibi said that he is optimistic about the rise in oil prices in 2018, as the supply and demand balance in the crude oil market will be seen in the first quarter of next year. He said, "Global oil inventories have fallen to acceptable levels, and demand from China and India has increased. There are some positive signs that oil market prices will improve significantly in 2018." OPEC and Russia Non-OPEC extended the production reduction agreement to the end of 2018 last month to cut global inventories. The reduction in oil-producing countries has boosted the Brent crude oil price by 15% this year. According to the Joint Oil Data Initiative (JODI), as OPEC's second-largest oil producer, Iraq's crude oil production in October this year was 4.36 million barrels per day, a significant decline from the 48.30 million barrels per day at the end of 2016. Li Yan analyzed that the recent international oil price rushed to a high level, mainly due to the failure of the Fortis pipeline in the North Sea of ​​the United Kingdom and the explosion of the Libyan oil pipeline. However, as the North Sea pipeline gradually returned to normal, the tight supply will be weakened. At present, the decline in US crude oil inventories, the continuation of OPEC production and the failure of pipelines are all providing positive results. The continuous growth of US crude oil production is also releasing negative, but the bottom support is relatively stable. He predicted that with the current international crude oil price level, the next round of refined oil price adjustments may start to increase, with a range of around 130 yuan / ton. [Citizen's voice] Adding 4 boxes of 95# gasoline is more than 200 yuan in June. The average private car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L is calculated. After this price adjustment, the owners will spend more than 2.5 yuan to fill a box of oil; For a model with a fuel consumption of 7L-8L per 100 kilometers, the average cost per kilometer is about 4 yuan. For a large-scale logistics transport vehicle with a capacity of 50 tons, the average fuel cost is about 20 yuan per kilometer. The price adjustment has increased the burden on private car owners and logistics companies, and compared with the last price adjustment, the feeling is small. Longzhong Petrochemical analyst Ding Xu introduced that after the current round of price adjustment, the national 92# gasoline retail price limit continued to approach 7 yuan / liter, diesel is generally more than 6.5 yuan / liter, which is about 0.35 yuan higher than the same period last year. In the retail market, the preferential time and preferential sites for the main gas stations decreased. The maximum preferential price of the main gasoline in Shandong was stable at 0.7 yuan/liter, and the mainstream preferential rate for private stations dropped to 0.6-1 yuan. The fuel cost increased during the same period. Since July, oil prices have experienced seven upward adjustments. Taking Beijing as an example, the price of 92# gasoline has risen from 6 yuan/liter on June 23 to 6.84 yuan/liter, an increase of about 14%. Wang Bin, a 30-year-old Beijing citizen, clearly felt the rapid rise in oil prices. He told the Beijing News reporter that "in the summer, I filled a box of oil about 230 yuan. I recently found that it was almost 280 yuan. 95# gasoline has more than seven pieces. Compared with June this year, it costs more than a dozen pieces to fill a box of oil. It costs nearly 200 yuan for four boxes of oil a month.†“Feeling from the second half of this year, each When the price is adjusted, the price of oil has been rising. Before that, it is enough to add 300 yuan of oil. Now it costs more than 30 to 40 yuan." Mr. Zhao, who lives in Xicheng District, Beijing, said, "Although the increase is not too big, but each time the increase is not too big, but From the end of July to the present, the price of oil has risen from 6 yuan per liter to more than 6.84 yuan. It feels quite obvious." "After buying a new energy vehicle, the monthly travel expenses have been reduced by nearly half, so you don't have to worry about rising oil prices. Ms. Zhang, who recently posted a new energy license plate number, told reporters that “on the one hand, gasoline license plates are difficult to shake, on the other hand, new energy vehicles are more environmentally friendly, and the popularity of electric vehicle charging equipment is getting higher and higher. Now almost every Shopping malls charge parking spaces, will give priority to new energy vehicles. "