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This week, the price of single crystal cells has been lower than that of mortar wafers. The price per watt of monocrystalline silicon wafers has also been lower than the price per watt of mortar-cut polysilicon wafers. This wave of single crystal price cuts is expected to improve after the third week of December. The price of silicon material is stable this week. However, the average price of dense materials for single crystals has slightly increased, which has widened the range of high prices. The price difference between single crystal materials and polycrystalline materials is gradually expanding, and the spread has already pushed into RMB15. /kg. The silicon wafers have been stable this week. Due to the decline in the demand for dicing of single crystals in some slicing plants, the production capacity of the previously tight diamond chips has been slightly eased. In terms of monocrystalline silicon wafers, there has been inventory pressure due to sluggish demand in the near future, and price cuts have occurred. The monocrystalline silicon wafer leading factory has its own battery chip and module production capacity, so the decline is small; however, other small and medium-sized factories without their own downstream production lines are in poor condition in the single crystal market, and the battery factory generally turns into polycrystalline. The inventory pressure is even greater, and the decline is more obvious. The mainstream price of monocrystalline wafers this week is at RMB5.4-5.5/pc, while the overseas price is at USD0.72-0.74/pc, which is still going on. The low price of some small factories has reached RMB5.0-5.1/pc, and the normal price is RMB5.2-5.3/pc. The price of the solar wafer cut polycrystalline battery in this week is maintained at RMB1.71-1.74/W, and the diamond-cut polycrystalline battery is at RMB1.66-1.7/W. The price of single crystal cells continued to fall, and it has almost the same price as the diamond-cut multi-cell battery. The price is RMB1.68-1.7/W. The price of single-crystal PERC batteries also continued to fall. The price of single-cell PERC batteries with a 21-21.2% efficiency in Taiwan was USD0.255-0.262/W, which was almost the same as that of the land manufacturer's RMB1.9-2/W. The main demand for components this month comes from China's Guangfu Poverty Alleviation Project and the distributed market, which are highly sensitive to initial investment and cost performance. Although the price difference of single polycrystalline batteries is rapidly reduced, there is still a time lag from the design plan to the actual order purchase, and there is still a price difference between the single and polycrystalline components, so that the terminal market has not responded to the price reduction of the single crystal supply chain. It is expected that after two weeks, the market demand will begin to show signs of fatigue after the end of the year, and there will be a short window of demand, which will bring the price of single crystal and polycrystalline components closer. At that time, the demand for single crystals will begin to warm up, and the situation of monocrystalline silicon wafers and battery sheets continuing to fall in price in recent weeks will be improved.
PV price trend: single crystal prices "falling down" and polycrystalline competition is becoming more intense
According to the EnergyTrend analysis, this week's price volatility is still concentrated in the single crystal supply chain. Monocrystalline silicon wafers and monocrystalline cell sheets have accumulated a lot of inventory in the past, and they continued to fall in price this week, and the price difference with polycrystalline silicon wafers has gradually contracted. On the other hand, as the polycrystalline supply chain has turned to the diamond wire cutting technology, the single crystal products are facing more intense price competition pressure.