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Recently, Xu Xianping, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, presided over the economic situation symposium and the symposium on the basic thinking of the 13th Five-Year Plan during the investigation period in Zhejiang. At the meeting, nine provinces including Heilongjiang, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Henan, Hubei, and Guangdong reported on the preliminary research on the basic ideas of the 13th Five-Year Plan, and submitted the current economic analysis analysis materials.
At the same time, Lian Weiliang, another deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, also conducted research in Guangdong and Guangxi provinces, and held five symposiums to listen to reports from relevant local government departments and key enterprises.
Insiders pointed out that the purpose of the symposium held by the National Development and Reform Commission is to analyze the current economic situation in depth, do a good job in the economic work of the next few months of this year and plan for each year, and study and draft the basic ideas of the 13th Five-Year Plan.
Multi-site launch of the "13th Five-Year Plan"
According to the reporter's understanding, the preparation work for the 13th Five-Year Plan of the National Development and Reform Commission was launched in April this year.
In the same month, the website of the National Development and Reform Commission announced the catalogue of major research topics in the “13th Five-Year Planâ€, including macroeconomics, education, agriculture, real estate, and state-owned enterprise reform. In June of this year, the National Development and Reform Commission also launched the “Thirteenth Five-Year†WeChat public platform to collect opinions and suggestions from ordinary people on the “13th Five-Year Planâ€, which were not regularly released.
The National Development and Reform Commission plans to listen to suggestions from various regions on the ideas in the form of symposiums in September and October this year, and form a basic idea before the end of the year.
At the symposium held in Hangzhou, Xu Xianping introduced the four key points of the 13th Five-Year Plan: continue to study in depth the major issues, improve the basic ideas of the 13th Five-Year Plan, and focus on major projects, major projects and major projects. Policy argumentation, strengthen the interface interaction and work guidance of planning.
Liu Xiahui, director of the Economic Growth Office of the Institute of Economic Research of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, who has long been engaged in economic calculations, believes that China’s economy has reached the “inflection point zoneâ€, which is characterized by a slowdown in economic growth, a decline in the rate of return on capital in the industrial sector, and an increase in real wages. The total amount of production is increasing, but labor productivity is low and growth is slow. According to his estimation, China's economy will remain at a level of 6.5% to 7% during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, and this figure is still "too good."
The reporter found out that more than ten provinces that have reported to the NDRC recently have started the preparation of the local “13th Five-Year Planâ€. Among them, Zhejiang Province listed 13 preliminary research priorities, including basic ideas, population, energy, industry, ecology, marine economy, and finance.
Henan's "13th Five-Year Plan" system includes 1 overall plan, 13 key special projects such as agricultural and rural economic development planning, industrial transformation and upgrading planning, information development planning, strategic emerging industry development planning, and modern service industry development planning. , as well as 38 departmental and industry plans.
Adjusting the structure to become the focus of future work
In addition to the "13th Five-Year Plan" work, another theme of the recent symposium of the National Development and Reform Commission is to analyze the current economic situation.
Not only Xu Xianping and Lian Weiliang, in the past ten days, many deputy directors such as He Lifeng and Lin Nianxiu from the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Western Division, the Department of Environmental Protection, and the regional divisions went to Inner Mongolia, Guizhou, Shaanxi, Jilin and other ten. Intensive research was carried out in the remaining provinces, and the focus of the survey was on the current economic situation.
Liu Xiahui believes that in the context of greater economic downward pressure, it is necessary to have some stimulus measures to maintain the economic growth rate to a certain extent. In the long run, structural adjustment and reform are the way to go.
"The government should not take care of it." He believes that although the government has recently opened up some monopoly industries, most of these industries lack investment prospects and economic benefits, and their attraction to private capital is limited. In addition, he believes that the current tax system based on "indirect taxes" has severely restricted the development of the real economy, and tax reform is a top priority.
Regarding the current economic situation, Liu Xiahui’s attitude is more optimistic. He believes that the sharp decline in economic growth in individual provinces in the first half of the year has limited impact on the overall situation.
In the recent period, Liu Xiahui has visited Shanxi several times. He introduced that the current economic data of Shanxi Province is not good. The most direct reason is that a large number of coal enterprises have stopped production. “The coal mine operating rate is less than 20%, and GDP will definitely fall very badly.†However, for Shanxi, which relies too much on the coal economy, it is more important to adjust the industrial structure and find new economic growth points, so it is necessary to “maintain the strengthâ€.
The National Development and Reform Commission has called for local seminars to study the "13th Five-Year Plan"
Abstract Next year is the year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. According to the "Daily Economic News (microblogging)" reporter learned that from the central to the local, the preparation of the "13th Five-Year Plan" is in full swing. near...
Next year is the year of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". According to the "Daily Economic News (microblogging)" reporter learned that from the central to the local, the preparation of the "13th Five-Year Plan" is in full swing.